Sports 2 min read

Manny Machado’s Struggles: Should Fantasy Players Buy Low?

Manny Machado's batting average and home runs are underperforming. Should fantasy baseball players consider buying low on the star player?

Manny Machado of the San Diego Padres during a game (Photographer: Corbin Young)
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As the 2026 MLB season progresses, veteran hitters struggle while rookies shine. Among these veterans is Manny Machado, who is experiencing a challenging season, prompting fantasy baseball players to question whether they should buy low on him.

As reported by Yahoo Sports, Machado’s performance has been surprising this season, with only nine home runs and a batting average of .169. His batting average on balls in play (BABIP) stands at .173, significantly lower than his career average of .296. Despite this, metrics indicate that Machado’s overall plate discipline seems consistent with his career averages, including a 76.7% contact rate and an 11% swinging-strike rate.

Manny Machado’s Performance Analysis

Machado continues to pull the ball and maintain an elevated fly ball rate of approximately 41%. This aligns closely with his historical figures, suggesting that his BABIP may regress positively as the season continues. If Machado’s batted ball profile does not show significant deviations, it is reasonable to expect improvements in his performance moving forward.

Despite the decline in his barrel rate per plate appearance, which dropped to 4.6% in 2026 from 9.3% in 2025, Machado still showcases strong power metrics. His average exit velocity (EV50) is 101.1 mph, though it has decreased from 103.4 mph, indicating potential for recovery if he can regain his previous hitting form.

Evaluating Fantasy Baseball Strategies

For fantasy players, the question becomes whether Machado represents a viable buy-low candidate. If his power metrics return to previous levels, he could once again be a significant contributor in fantasy leagues. Monitoring his performance closely will be crucial for determining the right moment to make a move.

Other players in the league, including Vladimir Guerrero Jr., have also been underwhelming, further complicating the landscape for fantasy baseball managers. With many veterans struggling, the focus may shift to potential breakout candidates and how to capitalize on their performance.

Implications for Fantasy Baseball Players

For now, fantasy players should weigh the risks and benefits of acquiring Machado. If his power metrics stabilize, he could provide substantial value for the rest of the season. Players should consider his historical performances and current metrics before making any decisions.

In summary, while Machado’s current performance raises concerns, his underlying metrics indicate a possible turnaround. The key for fantasy players will be to act at the right moment to secure a player with a proven track record.

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