dailyloe.com – The Kentucky Derby has a history of surprising outcomes, notably favoring longshots over favorites. The last favorite to win was Justify in 2018. Recent trends show a pattern of upsets, with Rich Strike winning at 80-1 odds in 2022.
Last year, Sovereignty won as a 7-1 shot, defeating the favorite Journalism. The upcoming Derby features Great White at odds of 50-1, adding to the longshot narrative.
Donerail’s 91-1 victory in 1913 remains the largest upset in Derby history. Owner Thomas P. Hayes aimed for a top-five finish, but Donerail surprised everyone, winning by half a length. The payout for a $2 win ticket was $184.90, a record in Derby history.
Rich Strike’s win in 2022 occurred after he was added as an alternate. Starting from post 20, he moved up to 15th place within the first mile. Jockey Sonny Leon maneuvered through the pack to win against the favorite Epicenter, resulting in a $2 payout of $132.40.
Country House claimed the 2019 Derby despite not finishing first. Maximum Security crossed the line first but was disqualified after interference was determined by race stewards. Country House had previously won just one of six races, and a $2 ticket on him paid out $132.40.
Giacomo, running at 50-1 odds in 2005, also stands out among Derby longshots. Owned by music executive Jerry Moss, Giacomo had one career victory before winning the Derby. The race continues to attract longshot backers, with history suggesting that favorites are often not to be trusted.
