Sports 2 min read

SportsLine Model Predicts Under in Mets vs. Cubs 2026 Matchup

A proven computer model simulated the New York Mets vs. Chicago Cubs game 10,000 times and has released its betting picks for the April 17, 2026 contest.

A view of Wrigley Field, where the Chicago Cubs will host the New York Mets on April 17, 2026. [Imagn Images]
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dailyloe.com – The New York Mets face the Chicago Cubs at Wrigley Field on Friday, April 17, 2026, for a 2:20 p.m. ET first pitch. The Mets are on an eight-game losing streak entering this series opener. The Cubs recently won two of three games against the Philadelphia Phillies. Kodai Senga starts for the Mets while Edward Cabrera takes the mound for Chicago.

Chicago is listed as a -157 favorite on the money line for this MLB game. The over/under for total runs is set at 10.5. The Mets have a 7-12 record and have lost three consecutive road games. The Cubs hold a 9-9 record and have won three of their last four contests.

SportsLine’s projection model simulated this matchup 10,000 times. The model was profitable on top-rated MLB money-line picks last season. It also returned nearly 30 units of profit on home run prop picks in 2025. The model has now locked in its predictions for this specific game.

After running its simulations, the model recommends betting Under 10.5 total runs. The total has gone Under in four of the Mets’ last six games. It has also gone Under in five straight Mets games against National League Central opponents. Three of the Cubs’ last four games have also gone Under the total.

The model’s full picks and predictions are available on the SportsLine website. The game will be available for streaming on Fubo. First pitch from Wrigley Field in Chicago is scheduled for 2:20 p.m. ET on Friday, April 17, 2026.[]

Source: CBS Sports

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Lucas

Staff writer at DailyLoe, focusing on international news, politics, and global affairs. With a strong interest in current events and in-depth reporting, he delivers accurate and timely stories to keep readers informed.

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