dailyloe.com – Dimers has used its data-driven algorithms to find the best value MLS bets for Saturday, April 11. The model simulates every match thousands of times. It processes thousands of inputs like expected-goals metrics and recent form. The focus is on three specific matches from a slate of 13 games.
The model’s highest probability bet is New England Revolution to win. This match against D.C. United starts at 7:30 PM ET at Gillette Stadium. New England gets a 59% probability to win according to the data. This is one of the highest outright win probabilities for the day.
The bet comes with a price of -107. The data suggests it has a better price than similar projections. Neither team has had a strong campaign so far this season. They sit 8th and 9th in the current standings.
D.C. United has struggled to put together complete games. The team has scored just 4 goals through 6 matches. This ties them with last-place Philadelphia for the league’s worst offense. New England has not fared much better in overall results.
The bulk of New England’s scoring came in two home matches. They will be playing at home again tonight. The model suggests they can capitalize on poor defenses in that setting.[]
Source: Dimers.com
